Will Trump face impeachment in 2026?

This market will resolve based on whether the US House of Representatives passes one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump at any point after market launch and on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. The market resolves to “Yes” if the House, by simple majority vote, approves or passes at least one article of impeachment against Trump during the market period. The market resolves to “No” if no such vote occurs by the deadline. Impeachment for the purposes of this market means only the passage of articles by the House. A Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not required and does not affect resolution. Primary sources are official records and announcements from the US House of Representatives and the federal government. If these are unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting from major news outlets may be used. If the outcome cannot be reasonably determined by the deadline, the market will be voided.

Donald Trump remains President of the United States amid ongoing political tensions and multiple investigations. With the House of Representatives controlled by the opposition, will Trump face impeachment in 2026?