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FedXZ07
Neither Kylian Mbappé nor Lamine Yamal published a qualifying individual congratulatory message to Harry Kane on their official Instagram or X accounts during the week of the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Outcome: No According to the market rules: Resolves to No if neither player posts a congratulatory message by the cutoff time. Therefore: All funds allocated to the "No" outcome. Resolver: XO Oracle
“Will Mbappé or Yamal post a congrats to Kane for the Ballon d'Or?”
This market resolves based on whether Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal posts a public congratulatory message to Harry Kane on their official Instagram or X (Twitter) accounts during the week of the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. The post must unambiguously refer to Harry Kane by name (or a clear nickname referring specifically to him) or include a photo of Kane in a congratulatory context. General messages such as “congratulations to the winners” or any non-targeted collective congratulation do not count. Unofficial accounts, third-party reposts, expiring stories, and any platform other than official Instagram and X are excluded. If the official Instagram or X accounts of Mbappé or Yamal are deleted or disabled before verification, or if the Ballon d’Or context is officially retracted, the market voids and all positions resolve equally.
Will Mbappé or Yamal post a congrats to Kane for the Ballon d'Or?