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“On October 10, 2025, the crypto market saw a major crash, with more than $19B in liquidations and over 1.6 million accounts liquidated. Bitcoin dropped approximately 14.5%. So, will Bitcoin experience a similar 14.5% drop on October 10, 2026.”
The market resolves Yes if Bitcoin falls by 14.5% or more between October 10, 2026 at 00:00 UTC and October 10, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. The decline is measured from the highest BTC/USD price recorded during that period to the lowest BTC/USD price recorded later during the same period. BTC/USD pricing will primarily be determined using Coinbase and Binance spot-market data, with CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap used as secondary references if required. Clearly erroneous price prints, exchange-specific glitches, or isolated anomalies that are not reflected across major spot exchanges will not qualify. Resolves to Yes if Bitcoin falls by ≥14.5% on October 10, 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC, and it resolves to No if Bitcoin does not experience a ≥14.5% decline during October 10, 2026, from 00:00 to 23:59 UTC.
On October 10, 2025, the crypto market saw a major crash, with more than $19B in liquidations and over 1.6 million accounts liquidated. Bitcoin dropped approximately 14.5%. So, will Bitcoin experience a similar 14.5% drop on October 10, 2026.