Hung Knesset after 2026 election?

This market will resolve based on whether, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. The market resolves to “Yes” if a new Knesset election is called before any government is formed. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. The market resolves to “No” if a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called. If a government is formed, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. A hung parliament, coalition negotiations, or political deadlock do not count as Yes unless a new election is officially called prior to government formation. Rumors and unconfirmed media speculation do not qualify. If neither a new election is called nor a government is formed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. Primary resolution source: official information from the government of Israel. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. If the outcome cannot be reasonably determined, the market will be voided.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market asks whether the next election for the Israeli Knesset results in a hung parliament - meaning no government is formed and a new election is called.