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“Anthropic is one of the leading AI companies and is expected to go public in the near term. This market asks whether its valuation surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin at any point by the end of 2026.”
This market will resolve based on whether the valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. The market resolves to “Yes” if Anthropic’s valuation exceeds Bitcoin’s market capitalization at any point by the deadline. The market resolves to “No” if Anthropic’s valuation never exceeds Bitcoin’s market capitalization by the deadline. For Anthropic, any public valuation (market capitalization after IPO) or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Rumors, unconfirmed leaks, or secondary market estimates without official confirmation do not qualify. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko’s data for BTC will be used (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin). If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. The comparison uses the market capitalization figures available at the time of the qualifying Anthropic valuation event. Primary resolution sources: CoinGecko (or CoinMarketCap if needed) for Bitcoin and official communications from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. If the outcome cannot be reasonably determined, the market will be voided.
Anthropic is one of the leading AI companies and is expected to go public in the near term. This market asks whether its valuation surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin at any point by the end of 2026.